Buenos dìas, my friends - Changes to the page underway, yep the close out of summer and the welcoming of winter. New models will be loaded to start tracking inbound #MaNatural as we steam ahead towards #PowHunt’n season, hope ya’ll got’yr #PowHunt’n Tags are and are get’n ready to ride… La Niña is beginning to show up and hopefully blow up the Sierra with copious amounts of pre-season #GorillaSnot to build up our bases, then switch-up cold and fierce to #ColdSmokePow… #StokeLevelSolid and Thirst’n for POW…

#AkovaLife | #LeaveNoTrace | #WintersComing

“If your mind is scattered, it is quite powerless. Distraction here and there opens the way for counterproductive emotions, leading to many kinds of trouble.”
Dalai Lama XIV

Summary
Today's forecast brings scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, with rain chances tapering off by tonight. Cooler-than-average temperatures continue, with highs in the mid-60ºs. Snow is possible at higher elevations but will not affect lake-level areas. Expect calmer weather starting Friday, with sunny skies and light winds heading into the weekend.

Today's Forecast (September 19, 2024)
Weather: Mostly cloudy in the morning, followed by scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature: High 65°F | Low 42°F.
Wind: Calm winds, becoming Northeast around 5 mph.
Precipitation: 60% chance of rain with possible thunderstorms. Rainfall is expected between 0.25-0.50 inches.
Snow Level: 9,300 feet, rising to 10,100 feet in the afternoon (no accumulation expected at lake level).
Lake Tahoe Water Temp: 61.6°F (Mid Lake Buoy).
Lake Level: 6,227.51 feet (Tahoe City).
Wave Heights: Less than 1 foot.
Sunrise/Sunset: Sunrise: 6:46 AM PDT | Sunset: 7:01 PM PDT

Tonight's Forecast
Weather: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Skies clear after midnight.
Temperature: Low 42°F.
Wind: Calm winds becoming West at 5 mph.
Precipitation: 40% chance of rain before 8 PM.

Tomorrow's Forecast (September 20, 2024)
Weather: Sunny and clear skies.
Temperature: High 72°F | Low 40°F.
Wind: Calm winds, becoming Northeast at 5 mph.
Wave Heights: Less than 1 foot.
Sunrise/Sunset: Sunrise: 6:46 AM PDT | Sunset: 6:59 PM PDT

Extended Weather Forecast (September 21-23, 2024)
Saturday (September 21, 2024):
Weather: Sunny.
Temperature: High 74°F | Low 40°F.
Wind: Calm winds, becoming East at 5 mph.

Sunday (September 22, 2024):
Weather: Sunny.
Temperature: High 76°F | Low 43°F.

Monday (September 23, 2024):
Weather: Mostly sunny.
Temperature: High 77°F | Low 43°F.

Fire Weather / Alerts / Advisories
No Red Flag Warnings are in effect.
Winter Weather Advisory for areas above 9,500 feet, effective until 8 PM today for light snow.

Snow and Rain Advisories
Rain chances: 60% today, tapering to 40% tonight.
Snow chances: Light snow is possible at elevations above 9,500 feet, but no accumulation is expected below that.
Road conditions: Wet roads likely during and after storms, with no major road closures reported.

Historical Climate Report (September 18, 2024)
Max Temperature: 61°F (12°F below average). | Min Temperature: 36°F (1°F above average).
Precipitation: 0.57 inches recorded (0.56 inches above average).
Wind: Highest Wind Speed: 14 mph (South). | Highest Wind Gust: 17 mph (South).
Average Wind Speed: 1.9 mph.
Sunrise/Sunset: Sunrise: 6:45 AM PDT | Sunset: 7:02 PM PDT

Long-Range Forecast Models - September 19th - Oct 1st

ECMWF | MSLP • 6hr Precip (in) MSLP (hPa) 850mb Temp (ºc)

GFS 0.25 | MSLP • 6hr Precip (in) MSLP (hPa) 850mb Temp (ºc)

GFS 0.25 | 500mb Height (dam) and MSLP (hPa)

NAM - North American 12km - Run Date: September 19th

NAM 12km | MSLP • Precip 6 Hr (in) • 850mb MSLP

NAM 12km | Composite Precip Type & Cloud Cover (dBZ)

NAM 12km | Precipitable Water (Inches)

NAM 12km | 24hr Snow (10:1Ratio) (Inches)

NAM 12km | 10m Wind Speed + Streamlines (MPH)

GFS 0.25 | 7-Day Snow (10:1 Ratio) (Inches)

NAM 12 km | 6hr MAX 2m Temperature (ºf)

NAM 12 km | 6hr MIN 2m Temperature (ºf)